Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 76.032989 85.400704 94.967621 105.437162 116.541371 127.938662 140.492011
2025-08-10 61.956083 75.502365 89.945307 106.360958 124.378528 143.440418 165.022158
2025-08-17 52.380027 68.080633 85.382381 105.596963 128.319176 152.849908 181.121279
2025-08-24 45.626362 62.881138 82.460606 105.879267 132.723469 162.176067 196.592349
2025-08-31 39.420079 57.606218 78.841270 104.806517 135.105969 168.830455 208.716037
2025-09-07 35.499512 54.654046 77.583629 106.145666 139.966031 178.045051 223.509721
2025-09-14 32.330618 52.313828 76.798511 107.814640 145.019331 187.330148 238.259713
2025-09-21 28.423653 48.675357 74.141791 106.993740 146.943813 192.851990 248.574372
2025-09-28 24.396259 44.518290 70.550607 104.784856 147.008620 196.044290 256.061192
2025-10-05 23.335574 44.314759 71.934166 108.675777 154.369279 207.759092 273.417524
2025-10-12 21.793111 43.292334 72.150922 111.023855 159.798783 217.158190 288.052425
2025-10-19 19.326211 40.722241 70.165540 110.449809 161.548664 222.112869 297.419233
2025-10-26 16.929727 38.075635 67.966591 109.537090 162.859904 226.562485 306.249544
2025-11-02 15.262773 36.405428 67.006487 110.163122 166.041792 233.237016 317.709435
2025-11-09 13.353333 34.156128 65.101232 109.434435 167.434221 237.681289 326.463642
2025-11-16 11.919744 32.548655 64.010291 109.714391 170.048126 243.572414 336.920463
2025-11-23 10.267304 30.377869 61.975314 108.620719 170.829782 247.164252 344.572403
2025-11-30 9.379318 29.484582 61.772298 109.987404 174.753550 254.607891 356.864559
2025-12-07 8.644543 28.799315 61.836079 111.690787 179.095121 262.559954 369.773157
2025-12-14 7.425242 27.021416 60.129658 110.853003 180.064838 266.285972 377.521383
2025-12-21 6.062095 24.734126 57.492380 108.598426 179.091111 267.525804 382.189657
2025-12-28 5.973538 25.174241 59.210664 112.569566 186.380572 279.148589 399.588155
2026-01-04 5.610032 24.957267 59.842696 114.965464 191.568383 288.129471 413.755335